Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 0.004215 0.004437 0.004664 0.004916 0.005186 0.005469 0.005788
2025-08-17 0.003890 0.004225 0.004584 0.004999 0.005468 0.005984 0.006597
2025-08-24 0.003633 0.004027 0.004461 0.004980 0.005585 0.006275 0.007127
2025-08-31 0.003428 0.003860 0.004348 0.004945 0.005661 0.006501 0.007572
2025-09-07 0.003242 0.003699 0.004224 0.004879 0.005683 0.006650 0.007920
2025-09-14 0.003081 0.003554 0.004107 0.004809 0.005688 0.006769 0.008225
2025-09-21 0.002979 0.003473 0.004059 0.004816 0.005782 0.006997 0.008676
2025-09-28 0.002811 0.003302 0.003893 0.004664 0.005665 0.006943 0.008745
2025-10-05 0.002728 0.003233 0.003847 0.004661 0.005733 0.007131 0.009145
2025-10-12 0.002690 0.003217 0.003865 0.004738 0.005909 0.007465 0.009765
2025-10-19 0.002606 0.003138 0.003800 0.004702 0.005928 0.007586 0.010086
2025-10-26 0.002532 0.003069 0.003744 0.004675 0.005957 0.007718 0.010427
2025-11-02 0.002457 0.002998 0.003683 0.004639 0.005973 0.007835 0.010756
2025-11-09 0.002432 0.002990 0.003706 0.004716 0.006151 0.008191 0.011471
2025-11-16 0.002372 0.002934 0.003661 0.004698 0.006191 0.008346 0.011881
2025-11-23 0.002310 0.002873 0.003608 0.004666 0.006207 0.008465 0.012237
2025-11-30 0.002241 0.002801 0.003537 0.004605 0.006177 0.008511 0.012476
2025-12-07 0.002175 0.002730 0.003465 0.004540 0.006138 0.008540 0.012686
2025-12-14 0.002137 0.002697 0.003444 0.004547 0.006206 0.008736 0.013190
2025-12-21 0.002051 0.002595 0.003324 0.004407 0.006045 0.008563 0.013043
2025-12-28 0.002015 0.002562 0.003299 0.004404 0.006093 0.008725 0.013495
2026-01-04 0.002005 0.002564 0.003324 0.004475 0.006259 0.009087 0.014330
2026-01-11 0.001962 0.002519 0.003280 0.004442 0.006258 0.009171 0.014660